
Short Answer: Both. Market forces are decoupling.
Special analysis in 5 charts
Data shows that for the first time in MENA's venture history, active investors outnumber new startups being founded. A critical imbalance that could affect the sustainability of tech innovation in the region.
Series A Seems Stuck: With Series A startup count unchanged since last year, the "middle of the funnel" appears stuck across all MENA markets. 30% of current Series A startups risk write-off by 2026.
Short Answer: No clear winning strategy yet.
Special analysis in 5 charts
80% of MENA's AI ventures are concentrated in UAE (45%) and Saudi (34%).
More older startups rebranded as "AI startups" (43) than new AI ventures were founded (33) in 2024, indicating positioning strategies rather than new foundational AI innovation.
Today, MENA has roughly 3600 active startups, from Pre-seed stage to beyond Series B
Analysis in 7 charts
UAE's dominance decreased from 51% to 46% while Saudi and Egypt gained ground. The pool of pre-seed startups shrank from 70% to 65%, while seed stage grew to 28%, indicating an aging market structure.
In this section, the Handbook breaks down the pipeline of active startups by stage and country, and key changes taking place in 2025.
Only 21% of companies self-identifying as 'startups' fit the minimum criteria for VC investment
Analysis in 4 charts
UAE remains home to 44% of VC-investable startups. Crypto ventures now represent 15% of viable ventures in MENA, with Dubai emerging as a global crypto hub.
In this section, the Handbook shows the noise level in MENA's startup ecosystem and where to find investable ventures.
Roughly, 56% of MENA Pre-seed startups never make it to the next stage
Analysis in 6 charts
Series A shows concerning signs with 30% write-off projections by 2026. Egypt exhibits a 68% failure rate for startups trying to reach Series A, the highest in the region.
In this group of insights, the Handbook covers survival rate and failure rates of Pre-seed, Seed, and Series A ventures in MENA, as well as by country.
Use this to calculate your company's survival chances and investment expected returns.
MENA Seed startups are normally priced between $2M and $12M
Analysis in 4 charts
UAE continues to lead with highest valuations, while Series A valuations remain at significant discount compared to global benchmarks.
In this group of insights, the Handbook covers premoney valuation at Seed stage and series A in MENA, as well as by country.
10% equity is normally taken by investors at MENA Seed stage funding, 18% at Series A
Analysis in 4 charts
Seed round dilution standardized at 10% across the region, while Series A shows signs of private credit influence with equity dropping from 20% to 18% despite rising valuations.
In this group of insights, the Handbook covers shareholder dilution at Seed stage and series A in MENA, followed with dilution simulation tables.
No other source available as of 2025 provides a comparable level of visibility on MENA early stage data and venture lifecycle in MENA, UAE, Saudi, and Egypt
The science behind MENA's most reliable venture benchmarks
Detailed explanation of the Clearworld Model and statistical treatments used to generate insights from actual performance data, enabling replication and validation of findings for specific use cases
